The war in Ukraine and the regional divergence in Russia

1. It will be a long war

2. Hostilities can be localised or interrupted with ceasefires. Doesn't matter. The fighting will resume again. And again

3. Contrary to the popular opinion, it will be Russia that breaks first🧵 pic.twitter.com/8I19iARvmI

— Kamil Galeev (@kamilkazani) July 8, 2022