How campaign finance shows who will win the presidential nomination

[José]

Follow the money

Jul 9th 2007

From Economist.com

HOW does a treasure chest boost a politician's odds of getting nominated as a presidential candidate? Barack Obama did well in fundraising in the second quarter of the year, comfortably beating Hillary Clinton (see chart). Perhaps as a consequence, the future odds of him becoming the Democratic candidate are almost as good as Mrs Clinton's, even though their respective poll ratings are much wider apart. On the Republican side, John McCain's dreadful financial position—he said recently that he has just $2m remaining of some $11.2m raised—is reflected in the poor odds of him becoming the candidate.

http://www.economist.com/daily/chartgaller…tory_id=9460827

[Sous-Commandant Marco]

En suivant ce principe, Ron Paul serait maintenant troisième Républicain, devant McCain.

[Nico]

Mais on n'en parle pas car il gêne… Pourtant, pour l'économie et les libertés individuelles c'est le meilleur.

Obama est devant Hillary, je l'avais lu ailleurs, mais voir que Romney est devant Guliani, ça me surprend.