Freezbee

Ahem... Bon, c'est nul comme test.

400 000 c'est le pronostic du nombre de décès « si on ne fait rien ». Tout aussi excessif.

via @Largo Winch :

Confinement : les éléphants se laissent pousser les cheveux (et les poils).

Surtout que le vrai problème n'est pas le vaccin (qui n'est qu'un leurre) mais les tests PCR pratiqués à grande échelle, qui permettent de nous pucer comme du bétail. Ouvrez les yeux !

Charles Koch regrets his partisanship: 'Boy, did we screw up!'

Thread très intéressant sur les tests anticorps et l'immunité acquise. TLDR : selon la thèse défendue par l'auteur (pathologiste), nous avons atteint l'immunité de groupe, le COVID devient saisonnier et, n'étant plus en situation de pandémie, il serait temps pour nous de reprendre une vie normale. This is fairly high considering that the spike protein is a unique part of COVID but our immune systems are brilliant at learning things from one infection that can be applied to a new infection. There is an even more sensitive way of testing. Instead of only looking for the red spike protein. Public Health England grew the whole virus in culture and looked for antibodies to all the COVID virus proteins. They used a threshold that has been used for other antibody testing. This was a very sensitive test. It will exaggerate the answer because it will have false positive results e.g. antibodies that do not help kill the virus. Let’s see what it showed. Public Health England tested all the staff and residents in six care homes in London. Of the people who remained asymptomatic throughout (i.e. did not have COVID disease) over half had COVID antibodies. Some tested PCR positive so virus may have attacked them but they had no symptoms. This is immunity. Immunity is when our own defences deal with invaders without us noticing. So half of these people were immune. This is an interesting figure. The maximum household transmission seen globally was also 50%. So half of contacts living in a house with someone with COVID did not catch it. It also fits with all other evidence of prior immunity. medrxiv.org/content/10.110… If half of us were immune anyway and 7% of us had it then we are not at 57% with immunity. That is a very important figure. 60% approximately is the number predicted to reach herd immunity. 5 mins into this video Antibody levels by government testing have not shown an increase since May. If we have had real COVID cases since May and if we are not at herd immunity then these levels would have increased. Why is London at 17% then? COVID resulted in more severe disease and higher antibody levels in non-white people. Those of Asian ethnicity had double the antibody levels of white people and people of black ethnicity had three times the levels. That is not enough to explain the discrepancy though. There are parts of the country where COVID hit first and we had not all changed our behaviour. These areas seem to have had a sharper rise in COVID deaths. When that happens deaths can overshoot. This happens because on the day herd immunity is reached lots of people have already caught it. Those susceptible will die. In areas where spread was slowest, at the point herd immunity was reached the minimum number had caught it and deaths were minimised. A hint of this effect can be seen when looking at deaths in the first 30 hospitals to reach peak deaths and the last 30. But some of this difference may be due to the size and density and other characteristics of the populations those hospitals serve. COVID was real and lethal and killed many susceptible members of our communities in spring including truly tragic cases. However, we are now at herd immunity. COVID has not gone. It will return in outbreaks in a seasonal way like flu. But it is not a pandemic anymore. We cannot change our lives forever for it. Plus the changes we have made are causing non-COVID deaths: There have been lots of concerns about levels dropping. Antibodies rise and fall depending on the job at hand. In addition, we know that these antibodies (IgG to the spike protein) cross react with other human proteins. Our bodies remove such antibodies as they are a danger to us and can cause autoimmune disease – where the immune system attacks healthy tissues. Finally, the same antibody test the Government are using was used in Wuhan (in a specific way). Only 3% of hospital workers had these antibodies. This is does not mean only 3% of them are immune it means only 3% had COVID. We would expect lower levels in South East Asia because of immunity to SARS1 giving the population higher prior immunity than elsewhere.

J'ai regardé Hold Up, et j'ai passé un bon moment. Je ne comprends pas la raison de tout ce charivari sur les réseaux sociaux. Bon, c'est vrai que Belmondo ne garde pas son masque sur le nez la plupart du temps, m'enfin ce n'est qu'un film...

« Autoritäres Absurdistan ». Die Zeit raille la politique de confinement française :

À ce propos, il faudrait aller troller l'auteur en lui demandant d'ajouter « c'est la faute au néolibéralisme » à côté de « marxisme culturel ».

Thread d'un journaliste de Mediapart : C’est beau, presque émouvant, de voir à quel point cette sortie de Takieddine colle à merveille à la nouvelle stratégie de défense de Sarkozy dans l’affaire libyenne: charger Guéant, minorer Gaubert, absoudre Sarkozy. Le tout dans Paris Match, propriété du groupe Lagardère dont Nicolas Sarkozy est membre du conseil de surveillance. #Trumpisation Contrairement à la légende qu’il essaie d’installer, Nicolas Sarkozy a été, lors de ses dernières auditions, tellement acculé devant les preuves accumulées par les juges qu’il a dû littéralement lâché sur PV ses lieutenants de toujours, Hortefeux et Guéant Nous touchons au sublime. Nicolas Sarkozy, qui a traité Takieddine de cinglé, d’escroc et de menteur fou devant les juges, prend désormais pour argent comptant - sans mauvais jeu de mots - les déclarations du même Takieddine...

Illustration de l'efficacité du système que le monde nous envie :

Sur la « stabilité » de Curtis :

Par stable, je pense qu'il faut comprendre le contraire de lunatique ou d'imprévisible. Ça ne veut pas dire calme pour autant : les chiens de chasse sont tout sauf calmes, ils ont besoin de courir (ou de creuser pour certains) et ce que tu rapportes sur le côté destructeur ne m'étonne pas (s'ils sont enfermés dans un appart ou dans une maison ils vont finir par casser des trucs). Pour la muselière, j'avais lu dans cet article qu'il s'en était défait lui-même : Pourtant, les chiens de la chasse à courre ne montraient aucune trace de blessure... En outre, les enquêteurs ont relevé que le lit de feuilles mortes autour de la victime était intact : ce ne serait pas le cas si une meute était passée par là.